There is a prediction of an increase of 6.5 percent to this amount

KabarJawa.com – The issue of increasing the Regional Minimum Wage (UMR) which is now known as the Provincial Minimum Wage (UMP) and Regency/City Minimum Wage (UMK) for East Java (Jatim) in 2026 is currently a hot topic of discussion among workers and business actors.

Currently, the East Java Provincial Government (Pemprov Jatim) has not released its official decision. However, as time went by, various speculations regarding the size of the increase began to circulate.

In the midst of significant demands from labor unions, predictions also emerged that based the calculation on an increase in the UMP of 6.5 percent, a percentage that had been implemented simultaneously before.

If the predicted 6.5 percent increase is really the formula used, then what is the estimated UMK in various cities and districts in East Java? For this reason, based on the information collected KabarJawa.comThe following is the complete review.

Prediction and Simulation of the 2026 East Java MSE Increase if it Increases by 6.5 Percent

This 6.5 percent increase prediction is based on the percentage of increases that have been applied previously that will be used again.

If this simulation is applied to the East Java MSE structure, the following is the estimated nominal MSE for 2026 in 38 districts/cities:

Please remember that the numbers above are only a simulation and are not the official nominal value set by the local government.

Labor Union Demands and Legal Basis for Wage Increases

Meanwhile, recently there was a proposal from the labor union demanding a higher increase, based on considerations of economic conditions and regulations.

The Confederation of Indonesian Trade Unions (KSPI) is reportedly proposing an increase in the minimum wage in 2026 by 8.5 to 10.5 percent. This figure is known to be higher than the prediction of 6.5 percent.

Waiting for the Official Schedule for the Announcement of the East Java UMP and UMK

Certainty regarding the amount of the 2026 East Java minimum wage will depend on final regulations from the central government.

The central government itself has reportedly indicated a clear time limit for the announcement of the 2026 UMP. The Minister of Manpower, Yassierli, on 26 November 2025, stated that in general, the announcement of the 2026 UMP is expected to be made before 31 December 2025.

The existence of this time limit is considered important, because the new UMP and UMK must be announced immediately so that they can come into effect effectively as of January 1 2026.

Thus, the people of East Java can look forward to an official announcement from the East Java Provincial Government which will most likely come out in the last weeks of December, providing certainty regarding the wage levels that will apply next year. ***